India’s First DNA-Based Elephant Census: Population Declines, New Scientific Baseline Established

  • 17 Oct 2025

In News:

  • India has released the results of its first-ever DNA-based elephant population assessment under the Synchronous All-India Elephant Estimation (SAIEE) 2021–25.
  • The report estimates 22,446 wild elephants, marking an 18% decline from the 2017 figure of 27,312. However, the government stresses that the numbers are not directly comparable due to a shift to a more advanced, genetic mark-recapture methodology, establishing a new population baseline.

Significance of Elephants in India

  • India hosts over 60% of the global Asian elephant population, making it critical to the species’ global survival.
  • Elephants are Keystone species, maintaining forest ecosystem health.
  • They are deeply woven into Indian cultural, religious, and ecological heritage.

Distribution

Elephants in India inhabit four major landscapes:

Region

Estimated Population (2025)

Western Ghats

11,934 (largest population)

North Eastern Hills & Brahmaputra Floodplains

6,559

Shivalik Hills & Gangetic Plains

2,062

Central India & Eastern Ghats

1,891

Top States (2025)

  • Karnataka: 6,013
  • Assam: 4,159
  • Tamil Nadu: 3,136
  • Kerala: 2,785
  • Uttarakhand: 1,792
  • Odisha: 912

These states collectively support over 80% of India’s elephant population.

How the DNA-Based Census Was Conducted

This was India’s most comprehensive elephant survey to date, combining:

  • DNA fingerprinting of dung samples
  • Satellite mapping
  • Ground-based habitat surveys

Key Technical Inputs

  • ~21,000+ dung samples collected across 20 states
  • 4,065 individual elephants genetically identified
  • Forests divided into 100 sq km grids, further sub-divided for finer sampling—adapted from India’s tiger census model
  • Survey covered 6.7 lakh km of forest trails and 3.1 lakh dung plots

This non-invasive method is statistically robust compared to earlier sighting-based estimates.

Key Findings

  • Estimated Population: 22,446 (range: 18,255 – 26,645)
  • Western Ghats largest stronghold
  • Population decline observed, though partly attributed to more accurate methodology
  • Significant habitat fragmentation and corridor disruption noted

Major Threats

  • Habitat loss & fragmentation from agriculture, mining, infrastructure and linear projects
  • Human-elephant conflict leading to casualties on both sides
  • Poaching and retaliatory killings
  • Disruption of migration corridors by rail lines, highways, power fences
  • Invasive species and land-use change (especially Western Ghats and Northeast)

Legal Protection & Conservation Measures

  • Status: Endangered (IUCN)
  • Legal Protection: Schedule I — Wildlife (Protection) Act, 1972; Appendix I — CITES
  • Key Initiatives
    • Project Elephant (1992)
    • 101 Elephant Corridors Programme
    • Gaj Yatra Awareness Campaign
    • Use of technology: satellite tracking, GIS, camera traps, M-STRiPES-like monitoring

The government is now working on Project Elephant 2.0 to strengthen habitat connectivity and conflict mitigation through community-based conservation.

Significance of the New Baseline

  • Establishes a scientific foundation for long-term population monitoring
  • Enables integration of genetic, ecological & spatial data
  • Aligns with global best practices in wildlife conservation
  • Crucial for revising policies on corridor protection, land-use planning, and conflict reduction