India’s First DNA-Based Elephant Census: Population Declines, New Scientific Baseline Established
- 17 Oct 2025
In News:
- India has released the results of its first-ever DNA-based elephant population assessment under the Synchronous All-India Elephant Estimation (SAIEE) 2021–25.
- The report estimates 22,446 wild elephants, marking an 18% decline from the 2017 figure of 27,312. However, the government stresses that the numbers are not directly comparable due to a shift to a more advanced, genetic mark-recapture methodology, establishing a new population baseline.
Significance of Elephants in India
- India hosts over 60% of the global Asian elephant population, making it critical to the species’ global survival.
- Elephants are Keystone species, maintaining forest ecosystem health.
- They are deeply woven into Indian cultural, religious, and ecological heritage.
Distribution
Elephants in India inhabit four major landscapes:
|
Region |
Estimated Population (2025) |
|
Western Ghats |
11,934 (largest population) |
|
North Eastern Hills & Brahmaputra Floodplains |
6,559 |
|
Shivalik Hills & Gangetic Plains |
2,062 |
|
Central India & Eastern Ghats |
1,891 |
Top States (2025)
- Karnataka: 6,013
- Assam: 4,159
- Tamil Nadu: 3,136
- Kerala: 2,785
- Uttarakhand: 1,792
- Odisha: 912
These states collectively support over 80% of India’s elephant population.
How the DNA-Based Census Was Conducted
This was India’s most comprehensive elephant survey to date, combining:
- DNA fingerprinting of dung samples
- Satellite mapping
- Ground-based habitat surveys
Key Technical Inputs
- ~21,000+ dung samples collected across 20 states
- 4,065 individual elephants genetically identified
- Forests divided into 100 sq km grids, further sub-divided for finer sampling—adapted from India’s tiger census model
- Survey covered 6.7 lakh km of forest trails and 3.1 lakh dung plots
This non-invasive method is statistically robust compared to earlier sighting-based estimates.
Key Findings
- Estimated Population: 22,446 (range: 18,255 – 26,645)
- Western Ghats largest stronghold
- Population decline observed, though partly attributed to more accurate methodology
- Significant habitat fragmentation and corridor disruption noted
Major Threats
- Habitat loss & fragmentation from agriculture, mining, infrastructure and linear projects
- Human-elephant conflict leading to casualties on both sides
- Poaching and retaliatory killings
- Disruption of migration corridors by rail lines, highways, power fences
- Invasive species and land-use change (especially Western Ghats and Northeast)
Legal Protection & Conservation Measures
- Status: Endangered (IUCN)
- Legal Protection: Schedule I — Wildlife (Protection) Act, 1972; Appendix I — CITES
- Key Initiatives
- Project Elephant (1992)
- 101 Elephant Corridors Programme
- Gaj Yatra Awareness Campaign
- Use of technology: satellite tracking, GIS, camera traps, M-STRiPES-like monitoring
The government is now working on Project Elephant 2.0 to strengthen habitat connectivity and conflict mitigation through community-based conservation.
Significance of the New Baseline
- Establishes a scientific foundation for long-term population monitoring
- Enables integration of genetic, ecological & spatial data
- Aligns with global best practices in wildlife conservation
- Crucial for revising policies on corridor protection, land-use planning, and conflict reduction