India’s Agricultural Trade Dilemma

  • 04 Apr 2025

In News:

India faces growing global pressure to liberalise its agricultural markets amidst trade negotiations, FTAs, and WTO commitments. At the same time, ensuring food security and protecting rural livelihoods remains a domestic priority.

Benefits of Global Trade Integration

  • Export Revenue Growth: Enhanced access to global markets has increased agri-exports.E.g., India’s agricultural exports to the US were worth $8.4 billion.
  • Technology & Investment Inflow: FTAs can attract agri-tech innovations and cold-chain infrastructure.E.g., partnerships with developed nations enable modernisation of storage and logistics.
  • Market Efficiency: Global competition improves price discovery and benefits quality producers.
  • Geopolitical Leverage: Trade agreements strengthen India’s role in forums like the WTO and BRICS.
  • Input Security via Diversified Imports: Import of essentials like palm oil and fertilisers protects supply chains. E.g., Indonesia’s 2022 palm oil export ban highlighted India’s vulnerability.

Importance of Domestic Food Security

  • Rural Livelihoods: Agriculture employs ~42% of the workforce, primarily small and marginal farmers.Over 100 million dairy farmers depend on protective tariffs.
  • Nutrition and Price Stability: Domestic self-sufficiency guards against global price shocks.
  • Reduced Import Dependence: A strong domestic base cushions India during crises.E.g., Ukraine war caused a spike in fertiliser prices, exposing dependency.
  • Political and Strategic Stability: Ensures rural harmony and policy autonomy.

Challenges of Trade Liberalisation

  • Subsidy Imbalances: Developed nations offer massive farm subsidies.E.g., US farm aid of $10 billion distorts global price competitiveness.
  • FTA Pressures: Demands from countries like New Zealand to lower dairy tariffs threaten Indian farmers.
  • WTO Constraints: India’s MSP system faces scrutiny under global trade rules.
  • Illegal Imports: Despite bans, cheap imports like Chinese garlic infiltrate markets, undermining domestic prices.
  • Retaliatory Tariffs: India’s high tariffs invite reciprocal duties.E.g., the US “reciprocal tariff” policy under Trump era.

Macroeconomic Risks

  • Rural Unemployment: Liberalisation could displace small-scale farmers.
  • Trade Deficit Worsening: Import liberalisation without export flexibility can widen the deficit.
  • Revenue Loss: Tariff cuts may reduce fiscal space for welfare schemes.
  • Exposure to Global Shocks:E.g., Ukraine war disrupted fertiliser supply; Indonesia’s ban hiked edible oil prices by 27% in India.

Way Forward

India must adopt a calibrated, strategic approach:

  • Selective Liberalisation: Lower tariffs only in non-sensitive sectors while safeguarding essential crops.
  • Investment-Oriented FTAs: Prioritise infrastructure, tech transfer, and rural development over tariff cuts.
  • Domestic Strengthening: Boost agri-logistics, seed innovation, and food processing capabilities.
  • Trade Vigilance: Strengthen customs and surveillance to prevent substandard or banned imports.
  • WTO Reforms: Advocate for fair subsidy norms and transparent trade rules.