India’s Agricultural Trade Dilemma
- 04 Apr 2025
In News:
India faces growing global pressure to liberalise its agricultural markets amidst trade negotiations, FTAs, and WTO commitments. At the same time, ensuring food security and protecting rural livelihoods remains a domestic priority.
Benefits of Global Trade Integration
- Export Revenue Growth: Enhanced access to global markets has increased agri-exports.E.g., India’s agricultural exports to the US were worth $8.4 billion.
- Technology & Investment Inflow: FTAs can attract agri-tech innovations and cold-chain infrastructure.E.g., partnerships with developed nations enable modernisation of storage and logistics.
- Market Efficiency: Global competition improves price discovery and benefits quality producers.
- Geopolitical Leverage: Trade agreements strengthen India’s role in forums like the WTO and BRICS.
- Input Security via Diversified Imports: Import of essentials like palm oil and fertilisers protects supply chains. E.g., Indonesia’s 2022 palm oil export ban highlighted India’s vulnerability.
Importance of Domestic Food Security
- Rural Livelihoods: Agriculture employs ~42% of the workforce, primarily small and marginal farmers.Over 100 million dairy farmers depend on protective tariffs.
- Nutrition and Price Stability: Domestic self-sufficiency guards against global price shocks.
- Reduced Import Dependence: A strong domestic base cushions India during crises.E.g., Ukraine war caused a spike in fertiliser prices, exposing dependency.
- Political and Strategic Stability: Ensures rural harmony and policy autonomy.
Challenges of Trade Liberalisation
- Subsidy Imbalances: Developed nations offer massive farm subsidies.E.g., US farm aid of $10 billion distorts global price competitiveness.
- FTA Pressures: Demands from countries like New Zealand to lower dairy tariffs threaten Indian farmers.
- WTO Constraints: India’s MSP system faces scrutiny under global trade rules.
- Illegal Imports: Despite bans, cheap imports like Chinese garlic infiltrate markets, undermining domestic prices.
- Retaliatory Tariffs: India’s high tariffs invite reciprocal duties.E.g., the US “reciprocal tariff” policy under Trump era.
Macroeconomic Risks
- Rural Unemployment: Liberalisation could displace small-scale farmers.
- Trade Deficit Worsening: Import liberalisation without export flexibility can widen the deficit.
- Revenue Loss: Tariff cuts may reduce fiscal space for welfare schemes.
- Exposure to Global Shocks:E.g., Ukraine war disrupted fertiliser supply; Indonesia’s ban hiked edible oil prices by 27% in India.
Way Forward
India must adopt a calibrated, strategic approach:
- Selective Liberalisation: Lower tariffs only in non-sensitive sectors while safeguarding essential crops.
- Investment-Oriented FTAs: Prioritise infrastructure, tech transfer, and rural development over tariff cuts.
- Domestic Strengthening: Boost agri-logistics, seed innovation, and food processing capabilities.
- Trade Vigilance: Strengthen customs and surveillance to prevent substandard or banned imports.
- WTO Reforms: Advocate for fair subsidy norms and transparent trade rules.